Rs tanks 38p to 7-mth low of 61.53 ahead of RBI policy
30 Sep 2014 9:58 PM GMT
Sustained capital outflows also kept the rupee under pressure while some weakness in dollar overseas, which was trading down by 0.14 per cent against its major global rivals, was not able to stem the rupee fall, a forex dealer said.
At the Interbank Foreign Exchange (Forex) market, the domestic unit commenced lower at 61.35 a dollar from previous close of 61.15. It immediately touched a high of 61.31 on initial firmness in
local equities.
Later, it fell back sharply to a low of 61.59 before concluding at 61.53, showing a fall of 38 paise or 0.62 per cent. This is its weakest level since 5 March, 2014 when it closed at 61.75.
Last Friday, the rupee rose by 19 paise or 0.31 per cent. In other Asian currencies, the dollar appreciated as well. The Japanese yen headed towards the 110 mark after US data showed the economy expanded at its fastest pace since 2011 during the April-June quarter. The Indian equity benchmark Sensex on Monday eased by 29.21 points, or 0.11 per cent. FIIs had pulled out $39.95 million last Friday as per Sebi data.
Pramit Brahmbhatt, CEO, Veracity Group said, ‘To start the week, rupee depreciated over half a per cent during the day. It took cues from dollar which is trading strong. Also, the increased month-end dollar demand from oil importers forced rupee to trade low.
‘Now all eyes are on the RBI policy review on Tuesday which will show the road ahead for the USD/INR pair. The trading range for the spot rupee is expected to be within 61.00 to 62.00.’ On likely RBI policy outcome, Rakesh Goyal, Senior Vice-President, Bonanza Portfolio said: ‘We expect RBI will enhance system liquidity by further reducing SLR by another 25 bps to 21.75 per cent and also, further reduction in HTM ceiling to 23.5 per cent of NDTL. We also anticipate that RBI might ease daily CRR limit for banks 85-90 per cent.’
In forward market, premium remained weak on sustained receipts by exporters.
The benchmark six-month premium payable in February fell to 203-205 paise from 208-210 paise last Friday.
Far-forward contracts maturing in August, 2015 also dropped to 454-456 paise from 463-465 paise.
The Reserve Bank of India fixed the reference rate for dollar at 61.4273 and for the euro at 77.9328.
The rupee fell back against the pound to 99.94 from 99.69 previously and also moved down further to 56.28 per 100 Japanese yen from 56.04. It, however, turned negative to settle at 78.16
per euro from 77.85.
At the Interbank Foreign Exchange (Forex) market, the domestic unit commenced lower at 61.35 a dollar from previous close of 61.15. It immediately touched a high of 61.31 on initial firmness in
local equities.
Later, it fell back sharply to a low of 61.59 before concluding at 61.53, showing a fall of 38 paise or 0.62 per cent. This is its weakest level since 5 March, 2014 when it closed at 61.75.
Last Friday, the rupee rose by 19 paise or 0.31 per cent. In other Asian currencies, the dollar appreciated as well. The Japanese yen headed towards the 110 mark after US data showed the economy expanded at its fastest pace since 2011 during the April-June quarter. The Indian equity benchmark Sensex on Monday eased by 29.21 points, or 0.11 per cent. FIIs had pulled out $39.95 million last Friday as per Sebi data.
Pramit Brahmbhatt, CEO, Veracity Group said, ‘To start the week, rupee depreciated over half a per cent during the day. It took cues from dollar which is trading strong. Also, the increased month-end dollar demand from oil importers forced rupee to trade low.
‘Now all eyes are on the RBI policy review on Tuesday which will show the road ahead for the USD/INR pair. The trading range for the spot rupee is expected to be within 61.00 to 62.00.’ On likely RBI policy outcome, Rakesh Goyal, Senior Vice-President, Bonanza Portfolio said: ‘We expect RBI will enhance system liquidity by further reducing SLR by another 25 bps to 21.75 per cent and also, further reduction in HTM ceiling to 23.5 per cent of NDTL. We also anticipate that RBI might ease daily CRR limit for banks 85-90 per cent.’
In forward market, premium remained weak on sustained receipts by exporters.
The benchmark six-month premium payable in February fell to 203-205 paise from 208-210 paise last Friday.
Far-forward contracts maturing in August, 2015 also dropped to 454-456 paise from 463-465 paise.
The Reserve Bank of India fixed the reference rate for dollar at 61.4273 and for the euro at 77.9328.
The rupee fell back against the pound to 99.94 from 99.69 previously and also moved down further to 56.28 per 100 Japanese yen from 56.04. It, however, turned negative to settle at 78.16
per euro from 77.85.
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