Millennium Post

Poll survey shows BJP set to sweep Karnataka, Raj; make big gains in Bihar

Narendra Modi’s BJP looks set to exact revenge in Bihar, where its former partner and Bihar chief minister Nitish Kumar’s Janata Dal (United) stares at a massive defeat in next month’s general elections.

An NDTV opinion poll shows the BJP, which fought the last elections as Kumar’s junior partner, emerging as the big winner in the state with a likely haul of 23 of 40 seats. The JD(U) which had won 20 in the last election, could have to settle for only five, with the Congress set to gain too from its alliance with Lalu Prasad Yadav.

The BJP is also looking good in Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh, states it won handsomely in Assembly elections held just four months ago.

In Delhi, where Assembly elections were held along with these states, the Aam Aadmi Party appeal has only gained more ground since Arvind Kejriwal’s dramatic resignation after 49 days as chief minister. The AAP is set to win four of the capital’s seven Lok Sabha seats. The BJP, which was the single largest party in the state elections, may have to settle for only two. The Congress is likely to repeat its disastrous performance in December.

But in neighbouring Haryana, AAP is unlikely to make it a three-way contest. Of the 10 seats, the survey gives the BJP and its partner Haryana Vikas Party seven and Congress three.

The survey polled over 200,000 respondents in 350 of the 543 constituencies for which elections will be held in nine-phases starting next month.  It shows powerful regional leaders like J Jayalalithaa and Mamata Banerjee holding their won in the states that they rule. Banerjee is not only likely to sweep West Bengal with 80 percent of the 40 seats, the state also prefers her as prime minister to any other leader.
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