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IT export growth may slow down to 10-12% in FY17

Export growth in the country’s IT-BPO sector is expected to be slower at 10-12 per cent next fiscal hit by currency fluctuations, especially the weakening of the rupee against the US dollar, Nasscom said on Thursday. The industry is looking at 12.3 per cent growth this fiscal. Last year, the IT services and software industry body had forecast a growth of 12-14 per cent in exports.

The rupee recently fell to 29-month low against the dollar. Currency movements impact the industry, which earns around 80 per cent of the revenue from the US and Europe. Despite the impact, strong uptake of digital technologies like cloud, mobility, IoT and Big Data coupled with a rapidly growing start-up ecosystem are expected to help exports grow double-digit to reach $107.8 billion in 2015-16. The overall industry (along with domestic consumption and hardware) is expected to reach an estimated $143 billion in 2015-16. The global IT-BPO spending rose 0.4 per cent in 2015. “Amidst a volatile global economic environment, the industry has been able to set new benchmarks by sustaining its double-digit growth,” Nasscom Chairman BVR Mohan Reddy said. “Start-ups and eCommerce are the new champions of the industry and I expect these segments to increase their contribution to industry growth in the years to come,” he said, adding that India has increased its market share in global sourcing from 55 per cent to 56 per cent.

The domestic IT-BPO revenue is expected to post 10 per cent growth to Rs 1.41 lakh crore in the ongoing fiscal and further grow by 11-13 per cent to achieve revenue of Rs 1.56-1.59 lakh crore in 2016-17. “We had estimated that the domestic segment will grow at a certain pace on the back of the announcements made by the government and trends that we saw. However, many of those have not taken off. As and when they do, we will see a larger impact,” he added.
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