IMF cuts India’s growth forecast to 6.5%
17 July 2012 12:16 AM GMT
International Monetary Fund [IMF] has lowered India’s growth forecast by 0.7 per cent to 6.1 per cent for 2012 – the steepest cut for any nation – in view of deteriorating global economic situation.
The IMF, in its update of the World Economic Outlook, has also cut India’s growth projection for 2013 by a similar margin to 6.5 per cent.
‘In the past three months, the global recovery, which was not strong to start with, has shown signs of further weakness,’ it said while updating its April Economic Outlook.
The IMF has reduced the global growth forecast for 2012 to 3.5 per cent from 3.6 per cent. For 2013, the growth forecast has been lowered to 3.9 per cent, from 4.1 per cent, indicating that there are harder times ahead for economies.
‘Downside risks to this weaker global outlook continue to loom large,’ it said, adding that the most immediate risk is ‘still that delayed or insufficient policy action will further escalate the euro area crisis.’
As far as the emerging and developing economies are concerned, the growth projection for 2012 has been estimated at 5.6 per cent, 0.1 per cent below the earlier forecast made three months ago.
‘Growth momentum has also slowed in various emerging market economies, notably Brazil, China, and India. This partly reflects a weaker external environment, but domestic demand has also decelerated sharply in response to capacity constraints and policy tightening over the past year,’ IMF said.
The Asian Development Bank [ADB] had last week lowered the growth forecast for India to 6.5 per cent for the current fiscal, from the earlier 7 per cent.
According to official projections, Indian economy is expected to grow at 7.6 per cent [+/- 0.25 per cent] in the current fiscal [April-March].
CMIE SCALES DOWN GDP GROWTH TO 7.2%
The Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy [CMIE] on Monday revised downwards its growth estimate marginally for the current fiscal to 7.2 per cent.
‘We expect real GDP growth to accelerate only at 7.2 per cent in 2012-13... it is marginally revised downwards from the previous forecast of 7.3 per cent growth,’ the CMIE said in a statement.
The dip in growth estimate is due to revision in many individual sectors and lower than expected trade and credit offtake performance in the initial months of 2012-13, it said.
The IMF, in its update of the World Economic Outlook, has also cut India’s growth projection for 2013 by a similar margin to 6.5 per cent.
‘In the past three months, the global recovery, which was not strong to start with, has shown signs of further weakness,’ it said while updating its April Economic Outlook.
The IMF has reduced the global growth forecast for 2012 to 3.5 per cent from 3.6 per cent. For 2013, the growth forecast has been lowered to 3.9 per cent, from 4.1 per cent, indicating that there are harder times ahead for economies.
‘Downside risks to this weaker global outlook continue to loom large,’ it said, adding that the most immediate risk is ‘still that delayed or insufficient policy action will further escalate the euro area crisis.’
As far as the emerging and developing economies are concerned, the growth projection for 2012 has been estimated at 5.6 per cent, 0.1 per cent below the earlier forecast made three months ago.
‘Growth momentum has also slowed in various emerging market economies, notably Brazil, China, and India. This partly reflects a weaker external environment, but domestic demand has also decelerated sharply in response to capacity constraints and policy tightening over the past year,’ IMF said.
The Asian Development Bank [ADB] had last week lowered the growth forecast for India to 6.5 per cent for the current fiscal, from the earlier 7 per cent.
According to official projections, Indian economy is expected to grow at 7.6 per cent [+/- 0.25 per cent] in the current fiscal [April-March].
CMIE SCALES DOWN GDP GROWTH TO 7.2%
The Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy [CMIE] on Monday revised downwards its growth estimate marginally for the current fiscal to 7.2 per cent.
‘We expect real GDP growth to accelerate only at 7.2 per cent in 2012-13... it is marginally revised downwards from the previous forecast of 7.3 per cent growth,’ the CMIE said in a statement.
The dip in growth estimate is due to revision in many individual sectors and lower than expected trade and credit offtake performance in the initial months of 2012-13, it said.
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