Arithmetic-chemistry of alliance failed in Bengal
The Trinamool Congress has made a landslide victory by winning in 211 seats while the Congress got 44 seats, the Left Front 32 seats, the BJP and others have got 3 and 4 seats respectively. Of 32 seats, the CPI(M) has got 26 seats while the RSP, the Forward Bloc and the CPI have got 3, 2 and 1 seat respectively.
CPI(M) leader Mohammad Selim had said, “Two and two always do not make four, it often makes twenty two,” which means the chemistry of the alliance could stun the arithmetic. WBPCC president Adhir Chowdhury said even a day before the results were out on May 19 that the alliance would come to power.
In addition to the political leaders, there were journalists with vested interest and some media and their vernacular television channels which had predicted bright future of the alliance. However, the result has been disastrous. It showed that the political leaders and the workers had failed to read the mind of the people.
In 2014 Lok Sabha elections, TMC, Congress and Left Front had fought separately. So, the vote percentage received by the Congress and the Left Front in 2014 Lok Sabha polls can be added up and is mentioned as the votes received by the alliance.
In Kolkata, the Opposition leaders along with their media friends had said that Dipa Das Munshi would win from Bhowanipore against Mamata Banerjee.
They created panic among people and circulated in some television channels, newspapers and in social media that alliance was coming to power.
The Opposition said that the collapse of a portion of Vivekananda Road flyover and the involvement of some TMC leaders in taking money as revealed by the Narada sting operation would have great impact on Kolkata voters most of whom come from educated background.
However, the result shows that all the 11 city seats had been bagged by the TMC demolishing the tall claim of the Opposition.
In Chowringhee, where Congress heavyweight Soman Mitra fought against the sitting TMC MLA Nayana Bandopadhyay, the arithmetic and chemistry of the alliance had faced a disaster.
Mitra had joined the TMC from the Congress and was MP from Diamond Harbour. He along with his wife Sikha, MLA from Chowringhee left the party and went back to the Congress.
The Assembly seat fell vacant and Nayana Bandopadhyay was elected in the by-election held in November 2014. In 2014 Lok Sabha elections, the poll percentage of the alliance was 41. It came down to 36.5 per cent in the Assembly elections. The alliance had hoped to win the seat. But the result shows that the leaders had failed to read of the voters.
The leaders of the alliance said Subrata Mukherjee would face tough competition in Ballygunge where Krishna Debnath of the Congress had pitted against him.
Even Buddhadeb Bhattacharjee who stays in Palm Avenue which falls under Ballygunge constituency had voted for Debnath. In Lok Sabha polls held in 2014, the alliance got 41 per cent votes. However, in the Assembly elections the alliance got 36 per cent votes.
In Jorasanko, the alliance got 42.5 per cent votes in 2014. In 2016 Assembly polls there was a candidate of Rastriya Janata Dal ( RJD), a partner of Left Front and the candidate of the alliance got 15 per cent votes. The alliance did not work in the districts also and the alliance could get only 76 seats.