Monsoon likely to hit Kerala coast by May 30
BY Agencies15 May 2015 11:49 PM GMT
Agencies15 May 2015 11:49 PM GMT
Monsoon is likely to hit the Kerala coast by May 30, two days before its scheduled arrival in India even as the country stares at the possibility of below normal rains for a second consecutive year.
The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) on Thursday said that conditions are becoming “favourable” for <g data-gr-id="35">advancement</g> of southwest monsoon over the Andaman sea and adjoining areas during the next 3-4 days. The IMD has already predicted that India is likely to witness a “below normal” monsoon season for the second consecutive year.
It has partly blamed the El Nino phenomenon for the low forecast. “The southwest monsoon is likely to set over Kerala on May 30 with a model error of four days. <g data-gr-id="37">Advance</g> of southwest monsoon over Andaman sea normally takes place around May 20 with a standard deviation of about one week.
During the last few days, enhanced convection and increased rainfall activity has been observed over the Bay of Bengal and the Andaman Sea,” IMD said in a statement.
It added, “The <g data-gr-id="19">cross equatorial</g> flow is likely to strengthen and deepen over the area. As such, conditions are becoming favourable for <g data-gr-id="29">advance</g> of southwest monsoon over the Andaman Sea and adjoining sea areas during the next three-four days.”
Unlike the last year, when it was delayed by four days, <g data-gr-id="40">monsoon</g> will hit Kerala on May 30 this year – the event denoting the official onset of the wet season in the country. The official date for <g data-gr-id="38">monsoon</g> to hit the southern state is June 1. If the monsoon reaches Kerala on May 30, it will be the seventh time in 10 years when the state witnesses the rains arriving earlier than the scheduled date.
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