MillenniumPost
Delhi

11 seats set for a cliff-hanger again

Given the fact that the main contest is between the candidates of Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) and Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), the final result of 11 such seats - Sadar Bazar, Karol Bagh, Vikaspuri, Delhi Cantt, Sangam Vihar, Madipur, Rohini, RK Puram, Rajendra Nagar, Sultanpur and Mustafabad — will decide the fate of both parties.

These 11 seats will prove to be very crucial in deciding which party forms the government in Delhi as in at least three seats - Vikaspuri, Delhi Cantt and RK Puram the victory margin was less than 500 votes.

On the eight other seats also, the difference of win/loss between AAP and BJP was marginal. In contrary to the December 4, 2013 poll, this time, the new candidates and infighting within the parties is likely to play spoilsport. In the RK Puram seat, where the winning margin was just 326, the equation has changed after Shazia Ilmi who was AAP candidate in 2013, joined the saffron bandwagon.

AAP has this time fielded Pramila Tokas against BJP’s outgoing MLA Anil Kumar Sharma. The other crucial seat is Delhi Cantt which went into AAP’s fold after Commando Surendra Singh defeated BJP’s old warhorse Karan Singh Tanwar by just 355 votes.

Both the parties have retained their candidates this time too. However, if the results of the Cantonment Board polls are any indication, Surendra Singh is going to find the political battle tough as the BJP had surged ahead in it.

The BJP has changed its candidate for the Vikaspuri seat, while AAP is banking again on Mahendra Yadav. The saffron party has fielded Sanjay Singh replacing Krishna Gehlot who had lost last poll by a thin margin of just 405 votes. Singh is a Poorvanchali and the saffron party is banking on the migrant votes.

In the Sadar Bazar, Sangam Vihar and Madipur assembly seats the BJP candidates were narrowly defeated by AAP nominees by margins of less than 1,000 votes. Somdatt of AAP had defeated Jaiprakash of BJP by 796 votes during a close contest for Sadar Bazar seat in December 4, 2013 polls. Dinesh Mohaniya of AAP had defeated Shiv Charanlal Gupta of BJP by just 777 votes and won Sangam Vihar seat for the party.

On the other hand there are at least 10 other seats – five reserved and five Muslim dominated, where the BJP has never registered victory since the inception of Delhi assembly in 1993.

The 2015 Delhi assembly poll is set to be a litmus test for Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s popularity as well BJP national president Amit Shah’s leadership, registering a win in these 10 seats would play a very crucial role in the final tally for both the BJP and the AAP.

The five reserved seats are Mangolpuri, Sultanpur Majra, Ambedkar Nagar, Deoli and Kondli and five Muslim-dominated seats are Mattia Mahal, Ballimaran, Mustafabad, Seelampur and Okhla.

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