New Delhi: The monsoon is expected to be normal in August and September, the India Meteorological Department said on Thursday in its forecast for the second half of the four-month rainfall season.
Quantitatively, the rainfall across the country as a whole during the two months is likely to be 100 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA) with a model error of plus or minus 8 per cent, the IMD said.
The rainfall in August is likely to be 99 per cent of the LPA with an error margin of plus or minus 9 per cent, it said.
The LPA of the rainfall over the country as a whole for the second half of the monsoon season (August to September) based on the 1961-2010 period is 42.83 cm.
"The probabilistic forecast suggests that the rainfall across the country during the second half of Southwest Monsoon season is most likely to be normal (94-106 per cent of LPA) with a probability of 45 per cent," the IMD said.
In April, the IMD had made the forecast of a normal monsoon.
Mritunjay Mohapatra, Director General of IMD, said the next two weeks are expected to bring good rainfall due to the formation of a low-pressure area in the north Bay of Bengal.